Publication detail

A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe

BRÁZDOVÁ, M. ŘÍHA, J.

Original Title

A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe

Type

journal article in Web of Science

Language

English

Original Abstract

In this paper a model for the estimation of the number of potential fatalities is proposed based on data from 19 past floods in central Europe. First, the factors contributing to human losses during river floods are listed and assigned to the main risk factors: hazard – exposure – vulnerability. The order of significance of individual factors has been compiled by pairwise comparison based on experience with real flood events. A comparison with factors used in existing models for the estimation of fatalities during floods shows good agreement with the significant factors identified in this study. The most significant factors affecting the number of human losses in floods have been aggregated into three groups and subjected to correlation analysis.A close-fitting regression dependence is proposed for the estimation of loss of life and calibrated using data from selected real floods in central Europe. The application of the proposed model for the estimation of fatalities due to river floods is shown via a flood risk assessment for the locality of Krnov in the Czech Republic.

Keywords

flood risk, the model

Authors

BRÁZDOVÁ, M.; ŘÍHA, J.

RIV year

2014

Released

30. 7. 2014

Publisher

Copernicus Publications

Location

Francouzská republika, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

ISBN

1561-8633

Periodical

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Year of study

14

Number

7

State

Federal Republic of Germany

Pages from

1663

Pages to

1676

Pages count

14

URL

https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/14/1663/2014/

Full text in the Digital Library

http://hdl.handle.net/11012/201758

BibTex

@article{BUT108313,
  author="Miriam {Brázdová} and Jaromír {Říha}",
  title="A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe",
  journal="Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
  year="2014",
  volume="14",
  number="7",
  pages="1663--1676",
  doi="10.5194/nhess-14-1663-2014",
  issn="1561-8633",
  url="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/14/1663/2014/"
}