Publication detail

REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS

LUŇÁČEK, J. DOHNAL, M. MELUZÍN, T.

Original Title

REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS

English Title

REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS

Type

conference paper

Language

Czech

Original Abstract

Political risks are the most difficult to evaluate. Unfortunately these types of risks are the most frequent reasons for investment failures if such territories as some countries of Middle East are concerned. This paper provides an introduction to common-sense analysis to political science. It outlines the background and nature of common-sense analysis. It sets out some of the ways in which common-sense analysis can be developed and taking political risks as an example it examines how this analysis could be applied in theory and considers some possible applications. The case study of oil related political risks is presented in details (eight variables and 24 qualitative relations among the variables). No knowledge of qualitative analysis is required.

English abstract

Political risks are the most difficult to evaluate. Unfortunately these types of risks are the most frequent reasons for investment failures if such territories as some countries of Middle East are concerned. This paper provides an introduction to common-sense analysis to political science. It outlines the background and nature of common-sense analysis. It sets out some of the ways in which common-sense analysis can be developed and taking political risks as an example it examines how this analysis could be applied in theory and considers some possible applications. The case study of oil related political risks is presented in details (eight variables and 24 qualitative relations among the variables). No knowledge of qualitative analysis is required.

Keywords

Risk, prediction, kvalitatives modeling

Key words in English

Risk, prediction, kvalitatives modeling

Authors

LUŇÁČEK, J.; DOHNAL, M.; MELUZÍN, T.

RIV year

2006

Released

26. 10. 2006

Publisher

FBM BUT Brno

Location

Brno

ISBN

80-86059-45-6

Book

Chisa sborník

Edition

1

Edition number

1

Pages from

150

Pages to

156

Pages count

6

BibTex

@inproceedings{BUT28758,
  author="Jiří {Luňáček} and Tomáš {Meluzín} and Mirko {Dohnal}",
  title="REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS",
  booktitle="Chisa sborník",
  year="2006",
  series="1",
  number="1",
  pages="150--156",
  publisher="FBM BUT Brno",
  address="Brno",
  isbn="80-86059-45-6"
}