Detail publikace

A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe

BRÁZDOVÁ, M. ŘÍHA, J.

Originální název

A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe

Typ

článek v časopise ve Web of Science, Jimp

Jazyk

angličtina

Originální abstrakt

In this paper a model for the estimation of the number of potential fatalities is proposed based on data from 19 past floods in central Europe. First, the factors contributing to human losses during river floods are listed and assigned to the main risk factors: hazard – exposure – vulnerability. The order of significance of individual factors has been compiled by pairwise comparison based on experience with real flood events. A comparison with factors used in existing models for the estimation of fatalities during floods shows good agreement with the significant factors identified in this study. The most significant factors affecting the number of human losses in floods have been aggregated into three groups and subjected to correlation analysis.A close-fitting regression dependence is proposed for the estimation of loss of life and calibrated using data from selected real floods in central Europe. The application of the proposed model for the estimation of fatalities due to river floods is shown via a flood risk assessment for the locality of Krnov in the Czech Republic.

Klíčová slova

flood risk, the model

Autoři

BRÁZDOVÁ, M.; ŘÍHA, J.

Rok RIV

2014

Vydáno

30. 7. 2014

Nakladatel

Copernicus Publications

Místo

Francouzská republika, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

ISSN

1561-8633

Periodikum

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Ročník

14

Číslo

7

Stát

Spolková republika Německo

Strany od

1663

Strany do

1676

Strany počet

14

URL

https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/14/1663/2014/

Plný text v Digitální knihovně

http://hdl.handle.net/11012/201758

BibTex

@article{BUT108313,
  author="Miriam {Brázdová} and Jaromír {Říha}",
  title="A simple model for the estimation of the number of fatalities due to floods in central Europe",
  journal="Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
  year="2014",
  volume="14",
  number="7",
  pages="1663--1676",
  doi="10.5194/nhess-14-1663-2014",
  issn="1561-8633",
  url="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/14/1663/2014/"
}