Detail publikace

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

BARTOŠÍK, T. RADIL, L. MASTNÝ, P.

Originální název

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Anglický název

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Jazyk

en

Originální abstrakt

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Anglický abstrakt

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Dokumenty

BibTex 


@inproceedings{BUT99974,
  author="Tomáš {Bartošík} and Lukáš {Radil} and Petr {Mastný}",
  title="Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction",
  annote="The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements.
Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.",
  address="VSB – Technical University of Ostrava",
  booktitle="Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013",
  chapter="99974",
  howpublished="electronic, physical medium",
  institution="VSB – Technical University of Ostrava",
  year="2013",
  month="may",
  pages="759--762",
  publisher="VSB – Technical University of Ostrava",
  type="conference paper"
}